Increased retailer adoption of contactless payment terminals could lead to cash-free nations by 2030
The process is already well underway in some European countries, with some retailers, transportation companies and even bank branches no longer accepting cash, writes Deborah Weinswig, Managing Director of Fung Global Retail & Technology. But it still has a way to go.
“Despite the developments in digital payment methods, cash is still commonly used in many regions, particularly in Eastern Europe,” Weinswig notes. “[But] mobile payment adoption in Europe is expected to make great leaps in the coming years.”
The Asia-Pacific region leads the world in mobile payments (i.e., payments made face-to-face using a smartphone application such as Apple Pay), but Europe is seeing rapid growth in the broader contactless payments category. In 2013, just 1 in 60 face-to-face payments were made using contactless payment services, reported Visa Europe. That has risen to 1 in 5 payments this year, propelled by growth in everyday purchases such as lunch, restaurants and groceries, as well as an increase in the number of merchants who can accept these payments.
“Consumer sectors that see a high number of low-value transactions channeled through payment terminals, such as transportation and grocery retail, look to offer the greatest opportunities to grow mobile payment usage. Because consumers make frequent purchases in these categories, they desire speed and convenience in such transactions. These sectors can serve to introduce mobile payments to consumers, who will likely want to use them in other sectors once they are familiar with how they work,” Weinswig writes.
Western European uptake of mobile payment uptake is being underpinned by higher rates of smartphone penetration (nearly 3 in 4 mobile phone users by some estimates) and bank account penetration (nearly 90 percent) compared with Asia and Africa – mobile payments require both. According to the Digital Money Index, nine of the top 15 ranked digital-ready countries are located in Europe, including Finland, Norway, Sweden and Switzerland. Adoption will vary by country, with United Kingdom residents among the earliest adopters (largely due to transportation payments). Strong growth is expected in Germany, and Sweden could become a cashless society by 2030.
Merchants are installing contactless points of interaction to accommodate near-field communication (NFC) payments such as Apple Pay and Samsung Pay.
“Leading payment operators expect that all payment terminals in Europe will be NFC ready by 2020,” writes Weinswig. “Some Western European countries are on the path to becoming near cashless societies, and mobile face-to-face payments are likely to play a significant role in this shift.”
The full report can be found HERE. Other reports issued by Fung Global Retail & Technology include: “Wearables 2.0,” “The State of Consumers in the US and China,” and “The Silver Wave: Understanding the Aging Consumer.” Fung Global Retail & Technology’s reports and analyses can be found at www.fbicgroup.com and www.deborahweinswig.com.
About Fung Global Retail & Technology
The Fung Global Retail & Technology research team, based in New York, London and Hong Kong, is a think tank that follows emerging retail and tech trends, specialising in the ways retail and technology intersect, and building collaborative communities.
The team, led by Deborah Weinswig, former top Wall Street and retail tech analyst and startup advisor, publishes ongoing thematic and global market research on topics such as the Internet of Things, digital payments, omnichannel retail, luxury and fashion trends and disruptive technologies. More information can be found at www.fbicgroup.com.